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Analysis of the top four in Serie A

After the 28th round of the 2022-2023 Serie A season, there is no doubt that the champion of this season belongs to Naples, and Cremonese, Sampdoria and Verona have basically booked 3 places for relegation. The only suspense left is the ownership of the other three Champions League places. At present, Lazio, AC Milan and Inter Milan are ranked 2nd to 4th in the standings. In addition to Lazio having a certain point advantage, the difference between the Milan duo and the subsequent Rome and Atlanta is only within one game. Don’t forget there is still Juventus, which deducted 15 points, has caught up, which makes the situation of the Serie A fourth this season even more complicated.
캡주소 will analyze the possibility of Roma, Atalanta and Juventus competing for the top four. For the situation of the other three teams, see the situation analysis of the four competitions in Serie A: Lazio is the best, Milan is watching the Champions League, and Inter Milan is on the verge of extinction.

Serie A

AS Roma 50 points.

After a two-game losing streak in Serie A, Mourinho easily beat Samp 3-0 with goals from Dybala, Wijnaldum and Shalawi at home against his former disciple Stankovic Doria also tied Inter Milan in points, and closely followed the footsteps of the four major teams.

In addition to the league, AS Roma will also play in the Europa League in the next schedule. Their opponent is Feyenoord, the leader of the Eredivisie. Last season, Mourinho led AS Roma to win the first UEFA Cup. Naturally, this season will not let go of the higher-level UEFA Cup, and the Europa League champion will directly advance to the UEFA Champions League group stage. . However, two-line combat will inevitably have a great impact on the physical fitness of AS Roma players.

The remaining 10 league rounds of AS Roma include 5 home games and 5 away games. The 5 home games are Udinese, AC Milan, Inter Milan, Salernitana and Spezia. The 5 away games are Turin, Atlanta, Monza, Bologna and Florence. The 10 opponents include 3 direct rivals Milan Shuangxiong and Atlanta, as well as Fiorentina, Bologna, Udinese and Turin, which are ranked 8th to 11th in Serie A, and their strength should not be underestimated. Among them, the results of AS Roma and Inter Milan and Atlanta may directly determine which team has the opportunity to participate in the Champions League next season.


Atlanta 48 points



After winning two consecutive victories in the league, Atlanta has initially stepped out of the trough of the previous stage of Serie A with 1 draw, 3 losses and 4 games without a win, and has regained the pace of the top four teams. Compared with other teams, Atlanta's biggest advantage lies in single-line combat. In the next 10 league rounds, 9 rounds will be played once a week. Abundant physical fitness will be their biggest weapon in the competition for the Champions League.

Atalanta's last 10 league rounds include 6 home games and 4 away games. Home opponents are Bologna, AS Roma, Spezia, Juventus, Verona and Monza. Away opponents include Florence, Turin, Salerni Tana and Inter Milan need to face Roma, Juventus and Inter Milan. Compared with other four teams, Atlanta's remaining schedule is easy and difficult.
Judging from past records, Atlanta has a good winning rate against Juventus, but has not defeated Inter Milan in recent seasons. Therefore, Atlanta's away game against Inter Milan in the penultimate round may directly determine the ownership of a Champions League spot.

Juventus 44 points

No one thought that Juventus, which had been deducted 15 points, would still have a chance to compete for the top four in the league. Juventus achieved an astonishing record of 7 wins and 1 loss in the 8 rounds from the 21st round to the 28th round. In the 25th round away game, they lost 0:1 to AS Roma.
Today, Juventus has reached 44 points, only 6 points away from the fourth place Inter Milan. With 10 rounds left in the league, with the state of the Milan duo in the league, Juventus may be in the fifth round. It will be able to enter the top 4 of the league again within a few days.

For Juventus, the biggest difficulty in competing for the top four in the league may lie in the next three-line battle, the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia and Inter Milan, and the quarter-finals of the Europa League and Sporting Lisbon. However, in the case that league points may be deducted again, winning the Europa League to obtain the Champions League next season may become the best way for Juventus to take the initiative, which will also affect Juventus' next games The center of gravity makes a difference.

The last 10 rounds of Juventus include 4 home games and 6 away games. The home opponents are Naples, Lecce, Cremonese and AC Milan, and the away opponents are Lazio, Sassuolo, Bologna, Atlanta, Empoli and AC Milan. Udinese. These include the quasi-champion Naples, the top four teams Lazio, AC Milan and Atlanta, and the difficulty is in the upper middle. However, for Juventus, whether they can get fourth place in the league this season depends not only on their own game results, but also on the performance of the four opponents. After all, Juventus can catch up, thanks to these players team performance.

Overall, 캡주소 believes that in addition to Naples, the other three teams most likely to win the top four in Serie A this season are Lazio, AC Milan and AS Roma. As for Inter Milan, they can only mourn their misfortune and be angry about their indisputability.
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